Apr 30, 2014
01:47 PMConnecticut Today
Gallup Says Half of Connecticut Residents Want to Move; Believe That?
A Gallup Economy story published today declares this in its headline: 'Half in Illinois and Connecticut Want to Move Elsewhere'.
We're not statisticians and don't mean any disrespect toward Gallup, but we have a difficult time believing that the numbers add up to the real story of how Nutmeg State residents feel.
Here's the question Gallup asked: "Regardless of whether you will move, if you had the opportunity, would you like to move to another state, or would you rather remain in your current state?"
From an editor's perspective, it seems possible to hear that question a lot of ways. For example, the words "would you like to move to another state" could easily be heard as a fantasy possiblity question.
Which would mean some of those who said that they would "like to" move to another state might simply be thinking it could be nice to try sunny California.
Is it just us or does a hypothetical "would you like to" not necessarily add up to a "want to move elsewhere" declaration?
See the New Haven Register story:
Gallup says that in obtaining its results it did "at least 600 representative interviews with residents aged 18 and older in each state."
Connecticut has something like 3.6 million residents.
Does surveying a miniscule fraction of those residents really yield a statistically significant result? One justifying a headline that declares 'Half in Illinois and Connecticut Want to Move Elsewhere'?
That feels like an active, even agressive, "want" verb in the headline.
Meanwhile, we'll continue to tell you why Connecticut is a great place to visit, and a great state in which to live—a message that our friends at Connecticut Tourism Office are highlighting in style in the latest round of the Connecticut's "still revolutionary" tourism campaign, and on an onging basis on their Facebook page. (which includes photos of gorgeous Connecticut like the one above.)Gallup Says Half of Connecticut Residents Want to Move; Believe That?